Iran Claims Strategic Advantage as US-Iran Conflict Escalates
The war between Iran and the United States has reached the point Iran desires. In aerial battles, Iranian missiles and drones have struck all US bases in the region as well as much of Israel’s military infrastructure. Although the air power of the US and Israel continues to inflict damage on Iran, it no longer represents a strategic advantage for them.
According to Trump’s recent speech, the USS Abraham Lincoln was targeted by around one hundred Iranian missiles, demonstrating Iran’s firm resolve to confront at all levels.
The US remains unsuccessful in fomenting internal unrest within Iran. Millions of supporters of the Islamic Republic control the streets in cities and villages across the country.
The Strait of Hormuz remains under Iran’s intelligent control. After failing to form a coalition to open the strait, the US is limited to verbal threats. Trump’s tweets aiming to control energy prices are no longer sufficient to meet market demands.
Many countries, including India, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka, have entered a critical phase of energy shortages, and others like South Korea, Japan, and Australia are soon to face similar crises. The US is still unable to control the Strait of Hormuz, which would alleviate the energy price crisis, chemical fertilizer shortages, and deficits in other essential petrochemical products needed by factories.
Therefore, it is expected that various countries will seek ways to coexist with Iran and accept Iran’s desired legal regime for the strait. Over time, this will bring widespread financial opportunities for Iran.
On the other hand, based on analysis of Trump’s modus operandi, it is anticipated that the US, inciting Israel, considers using its last card by engaging in a ground or naval battle to seize control of the Strait of Hormuz. This is precisely the scenario Iran has been preparing for years.
US entry into a ground or naval conflict with Iran would allow Iran, after delivering significant blows to advanced US and Israeli military equipment through missile attacks, to inflict substantial casualties on invading forces on land or sea. This would turn the war into a pivotal event in contemporary history.
Military experts understand that while it is relatively easy for US troops equipped with the most advanced military technology to enter a part of Iranian geography, maintaining and securing it requires a robust logistical base, which the US currently lacks.
All US military bases in the region have been devastated and lack operational capacity to support a ground assault. The US would be forced to rely on distant bases or aircraft carriers for such support, both defensible options in military strategy are weak.
A US ground or naval war would create a new graveyard alongside the Portuguese and British graveyards in southern Iran.
Seyed Ahmad Mousavi, Missionary
