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FAO Warns Heat and Water Stress Are Intensifying Pressure on Afghan Agriculture

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has warned in its latest report that water shortages and rising temperatures are increasing pressure on summer crops and pastureland in Afghanistan, while high prices for chemical fertiliser are also threatening farmers’ ability to prepare for the next season.

In its “Afghanistan Agriculture Outlook” for August 2026, the agency said persistent fertiliser inflation could make it difficult for farmers to invest in winter wheat cultivation. The report added that this situation, combined with climate pressures, is affecting agricultural production.

To assess the current situation and the outlook for the 2026-2027 agricultural season, FAO used climate forecasts, remote sensing data and consultations with farmers in all 34 provinces. Based on this data, the assessment reviews the state of the country’s agriculture.

According to FAO’s forecast, the strengthening of the El Nino phenomenon and the احتمال of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole could increase rainfall next winter and spring. The agency said this could improve water availability and the outlook for agricultural production.

However, FAO stressed that increased rainfall would not bring only positive effects and could also raise the risk of floods, landslides, damage to crops and livestock losses. The agency emphasised the need for close monitoring, preventive measures and the timely provision of practical climate and agricultural advice to farmers.

FAO is one of the United Nations specialised agencies in food and agriculture and regularly assesses the food security situation and agricultural production of countries. In Afghanistan, agriculture is one of the main sources of livelihood, and climate change directly affects the lives of farmers and livestock owners.

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