Missile War or Energy War: The Fate of the Battle in the Strait of Hormuz
The equation of war has now become very simple. Whoever controls the Strait of Hormuz, and consequently controls the price and supply of energy, will be the victor of the war. So far, the US and Israeli airstrikes have been met with missile and drone launches by Iran. While the US and Israel have caused damage to Iran, they have themselves suffered irreparable losses. America’s European allies have refused to directly enter the conflict, and Arab allies are also reluctant to respond directly to Iran to avoid further harm. Although Iran’s allies are not directly involved in the war, it is reported that they are assisting the Islamic Republic of Iran by providing intelligence. In such circumstances, where military battle cannot determine the winner, what ultimately decides the victor is the level of resilience against pressures. The US and Israel, having given up on toppling the Islamic Republic through assassination and inciting social unrest, are attempting to intimidate Iran with increased military pressure. For this reason, Trump speaks of attacks twenty times greater. Meanwhile, Iran continues missile and drone strikes while pressuring the world’s economic choke point, intending to turn the global energy crisis into a tool for defeating the enemy. On the other hand, the appointment of Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei as successor to the martyred leader of the revolution demonstrated that Iran does not feel compelled to compromise with the US under pressure and intends to continue strongly and powerfully on the path set by the nation’s martyred leader without any changes. Now, if in the coming days the US can allow fuel-carrying ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz and reduce energy prices, it must be accepted that it is moving towards victory. But if this does not happen, the defeat of the US and Israel in this battle will be definite. However, so far there is no sign of US capability to enter the Strait of Hormuz. Seyyed Ahmad Mousavi, Cleric
